Our predictions of who will win Oscars this year and why

Oscars 2024

Oscars are a different race before the nominations hit. After they hit, narratives begin to develop. We have some time before the big guilds start voting.

Best Picture: Should win – Past Lives: Will win – Oppenheimer

We believe Past Lives should win the Oscar for Best Picture ahead of the popular choice Oppenheimer. While the Christopher Nolan film is certainly one of the best films in recent years, it is not the acclaimed auteur’s best work.

Best Director: Should win – Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall) Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer): Will win – Greta Gerwig (Barbie)

I suspect Gerwig and Triet are most vulnerable here. Triet made a true crowd-pleaser, while Gerwig helmed a blockbuster box office sensation. Either its Triet or Gerwig, one of them becomes fourth woman to achieve this feat.

Best Actor: Should and will win -Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)

This will be Murphy’s first nomination from the Academy. The criminally underrated Irish actor, who is best known for his collaborations with Nolan could finally be recognized as the best in the business.

Best Actress: Should win – Carey Mulligan (Maestro)/Emma Stone (Poor Things: Will win – Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)

This category is a tight squeeze this year. It’s possible that one of them could be swapped in for Mulligan or Stone, but at the moment it seems that Maestro has not yet lost enough gas to count Mulligan out.

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